The Most Likely Players To Gain From Ninja’s Absence On Twitch
Esports has always been an industry of change and the significant change happening now is top Fortnite player Ninja leaving Twitch for Microsoft’s rebranded entry into the live streaming market with Mixer. The move to Mixer by Ninja is a bold one, as he will be leaving behind 14.5 million Twitch subscribers. Over the last year, Ninja has seen subscriptions to his Twitch channel increase by 4.6 million, per the chart below from video measurement company Tubular Labs.
Ninja’s absence on Twitch will inevitably leave audiences to look for other streamers to take their time and attention (something Twitch has already gotten ahead of, by utilizing his page to highlight other Fortnite streamers).
Using data from Tubular Labs, we can look at the Fortnite streamers that have gained the most followers over the last year, focusing in on the previous few months. These five streamers have the highest chance to grab the Twitch users that don’t want to make the switch to Mixer along with Ninja.
As the current most popular Fortnite streamer on Twitch, Tfue has seen a steady growth of followers on Twitch from July 2018 to June 2019. With numbers currently showing followers increasing from 1.9 million to 6.5 million over that time. With the absence of Ninja, Tfue has quickly become the No. 1 Fortnite streamer on the Twitch platform according to TwitchMetrics. However, other players are quickly gaining followers and rising through the ranks that may usurp the top position.
Another popular Fortnite streamer, Symfuhny, has seen significant growth over the last year in terms of followers on Twitch. From July 2018 to June 2019, Symfuhny has seen his channel grow from only 107,000 followers to 1.4 million followers.
Mrfreshasian has seen tremendous growth from July of 2018 to June of 2019, with his follower count rising from 19,900 to 1.1m followers in that time.
Bugha is a streamer that joined Twitch in 2015, and although he is lower on the ranking, Bugha has recently seen a sudden increase in followers from March to June; increasing his follower count from 178,000 to 220,000. This rapid increase is compared to his moderately slow growth of the eight months previous to March 2019, only growing from 175,000 to 178,000 followers.
A newcomer to the Fortnite Twitch streaming universe, Clix joined in June of 2018 and saw a great start of 51,300 followers by July of 2018. After the initial burst of followers, growth slowed down until May of 2019 when follower numbers suddenly jumped from 57,000 to 117,000. At this point, follower growth has not plateaued and seems to be continuing to rise.
While these five players are the most likely to gain followers from Ninja’s absence, the world of live streaming has shown that taking the top spots could be anyone’s game. As Fortnite continues to roll into its 10th season, the developments on Twitch and Mixer will be things to watch. In general, Fortnite content growth (or lack thereof) will be an interesting trend to watch — and is something my colleague John Cassillo recently pointed out on Tubefilter.